{"id":125342,"date":"2020-09-07T21:14:00","date_gmt":"2020-09-07T18:14:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/?p=125342"},"modified":"2020-09-07T21:15:06","modified_gmt":"2020-09-07T18:15:06","slug":"weekly-update-on-ukraine-30-31-august-06-september","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/en\/weekly-update-on-ukraine-30-31-august-06-september","title":{"rendered":"Ceasefire in Donbas, local elections in Ukraine, COVID-19 and more \u2013 Weekly Update on Ukraine #30, 31 August  &#8211; 06 September"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Situation in the combat zone<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-gallery columns-1 is-cropped\"><ul class=\"blocks-gallery-grid\"><li class=\"blocks-gallery-item\"><figure><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"600\" height=\"600\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns%3D'http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg' viewBox%3D'0 0 600 600'%2F%3E\" data-src=\"https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/tsifra-dnya-english-1.png\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"125343\" data-full-url=\"https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/tsifra-dnya-english-1.png\" data-link=\"https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/uk?attachment_id=125343\" class=\"lazyload wp-image-125343\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/tsifra-dnya-english-1.png 600w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/tsifra-dnya-english-1-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/tsifra-dnya-english-1-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/tsifra-dnya-english-1-192x192.png 192w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/tsifra-dnya-english-1-384x384.png 384w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/tsifra-dnya-english-1-110x110.png 110w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/tsifra-dnya-english-1-220x220.png 220w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/tsifra-dnya-english-1-561x561.png 561w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/tsifra-dnya-english-1-364x364.png 364w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/figure><\/li><\/ul><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The situation in the combat zone in eastern Ukraine has escalated. On September 6, Russia-backed militants violated the peace deal reached on July 22, 2020. They fired upon Ukrainian troops\u2019 positions near Krasnohorivka from grenade launchers. A Ukrainian serviceman was wounded in action. He was swiftly rendered first aid and was transported to hospital.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In a different spot on the frontline, Russia\u2019s proxies opened precision fire from small arms upon the Joint Forces\u2019 positions outside Prychepylivka, in Luhansk region. A Ukrainian serviceman was killed in action in the attack.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On September 6, Russia-backed militants opened harassing fire twice from under-barrel grenade launchers near Shumy.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As of noon, September 7, Ukraine\u2019s Joint Forces did not record hostile attacks in the combat area, ceasefire was holding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Ukraine\u2019s Foreign Affairs Ministry reacts.&nbsp;<\/strong>Following attacks by Russia-backed militants in Donbas that resulted in Ukrainian troops\u2019 casualties, Ukraine\u2019s Foreign Affairs Minister Dmytro Kuleba arranged an urgent conversation with Russia\u2019s foreign affairs chief Sergei Lavrov.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cToday in the area of the Joint Forces Operation, Russia-backed militants have staged provocations, as a result, one Ukrainian serviceman was killed in action and one more serviceman was wounded. These are clear attempts to derail the ceasefire and considerably impede the peace-making process in general,\u201d Kuleba wrote on Facebok.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cFollowing the provocations, Ukraine took immediate action foreseen by agreements made by the Trilateral Contact Group on July 22, 2020 on additional measures called to ensure the ceasefire. Particularly, it resorted to the coordination mechanism of response to ceasefire violations supported by the Joint Coordination and Control Center, as well as informed the OSCE Special Monitoring Mission in Ukraine about the incident.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Ceasefire in Donbas: is it real?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns%3D'http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg' viewBox%3D'0 0 1024 683'%2F%3E\" data-src=\"https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/peremirya-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"lazyload wp-image-125349\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/peremirya-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/peremirya-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/peremirya-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/peremirya-180x120.jpg 180w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/peremirya-561x374.jpg 561w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/peremirya-1122x748.jpg 1122w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/peremirya-364x243.jpg 364w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/peremirya-728x485.jpg 728w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/peremirya-608x405.jpg 608w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/peremirya-758x505.jpg 758w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/peremirya.jpg 1140w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Almost a ceasefire.&nbsp;<\/strong>In July, in Minsk the parties agreed the ceasefire for the 29th<sup>&nbsp;<\/sup>time. Previous truce deals were called \u201cEaster-time\u201d, \u201cspring-time\u201d, \u201cback-to-school\u201d, \u201cNew Year-time\u201d, \u201ccrop-gathering\u201d and \u201cChristmas-time\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unlike the present one, neither of them lasted more than two weeks \u2013 Russia-backed militants breached it every time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cAmmunition was indeed taken away from the combatants of the \u2018republics\u2019. They were ordered not to shoot, but they all stay on their positions,\u201d \u201cUkrainska Pravda\u201d quotes an unnamed person residing in the occupied area of Donetsk region.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ukrainian troops are not allowed to open fire including sniper fire, deploy heavy weapons on the outskirts of towns, hold offensive and reconnaissance operations, and use unmanned aerial vehicles.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>OSCE\u2019s reports.&nbsp;<\/strong>Throughout July and August, OSCE recorded 829 ceasefire violations including 667 shots and sequences, and 148 explosions. Press center of the National Security and Defense Council said the ceasefire was generally respected, recorded violations were sporadic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ukrainian troops have incurred casualties, in July, there were three non-battle casualties. They were not included into daily reports of the Joint Forces Operation command. The military press center explains that non-battle casualties have never been part of the daily reports. \u201cPublicly reporting non-battle casualties is like admitting your mistakes, no one wants that,\u201d an unnamed serviceman comments, adding that\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pravda.com.ua\/news\/2020\/08\/25\/7264073\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\" (\u0432\u0456\u0434\u043a\u0440\u0438\u0432\u0430\u0454\u0442\u044c\u0441\u044f \u0443 \u043d\u043e\u0432\u0456\u0439 \u0432\u043a\u043b\u0430\u0434\u0446\u0456)\">improper handling of weapons<\/a>\u00a0is a frequent reason behind the casualties.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Adversary<\/strong><strong>&nbsp;<\/strong><strong>bolsters<\/strong><strong>&nbsp;<\/strong><strong>positions<\/strong><strong>.&nbsp;<\/strong>Meanwhile,&nbsp;Russia\u2019s&nbsp;proxies&nbsp;are&nbsp;bolstering&nbsp;troops&nbsp;and&nbsp;weapons.&nbsp;\u201cAccording to recent reports by Ukraine\u2019s intelligence service, 700 tons of fuel and six railway cars were brought into the occupied areas by railway. It is still not enough for a serious escalation. However, this is what we know, the actual supplies can be larger,\u201d commented Andiy Rymaruk, former intelligence officer, volunteer at the \u201cCome Back Alive\u201d (Povernys Zhyvym) charity organization. He also noted that OSCE reports record hostile heavy weapons deployed along the contact line as well as military vehicles entering through the uncontrolled part of the Russian-Ukrainian border.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Besides, during the ceasefire Russia-backed militants have considerably reinforced the first and the second line of defense. Thus, they dug trenches near Zolote-5 and Uzhivka, and held engineering works close to Khutir Vilnyi and Maryinka. OSCE reports confirm that.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Mercenaries dissatisfied.&nbsp;<\/strong>As they say in Donetsk, the mercenaries are nervous. They used to be well-paid, now the \u201ccombat fees\u201d are quite modest. Not only because they are getting no \u201ccombat bonuses\u201d, but also because Russia is now spending less on its proxies in Donbas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Recruitment has also become problematic. There is not much enthusiasm among the locals \u2013 people are tired. Mercenaries that Russia is sending are not the best ones. Occupation authorities have no other option but hold on \u2013 terrorist leaders have no future in Ukraine, and no prospects in Russia either.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Ceasefire in exchange for political concessions.&nbsp;<\/strong>While Ukraine is trying to preserve the fragile ceasefire, Russia is trying to put pressure on Ukraine by means of provocations both on the frontline and at diplomatic level. The ultimate goal is to make Ukraine negotiate directly with Russia\u2019s proxies. Key subject is local elections in Donbas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Russia\u2019s negotiator in the Minsk format Dmitriy Kozak was close to having the meeting of political advisors in the Normandy format canceled. Besides, Russia refused to hold a prisoner swap while their election demand was not met.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Moscow and its proxies state that Ukraine was asking for truce and promised talks, the desired talks have not happened. So the longest ceasefire can be breached anytime.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Local elections in Ukraine: early projections. What to expect?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns%3D'http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg' viewBox%3D'0 0 1024 576'%2F%3E\" data-src=\"https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Vibori-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"lazyload wp-image-125367\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Vibori-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Vibori-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Vibori-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Vibori-192x108.jpg 192w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Vibori-384x216.jpg 384w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Vibori-364x205.jpg 364w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Vibori-728x409.jpg 728w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Vibori-561x315.jpg 561w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Vibori-1122x631.jpg 1122w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Vibori-608x342.jpg 608w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Vibori-758x426.jpg 758w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Vibori.jpg 1140w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>September 5 marks the start of campaigning for the local elections in Ukraine scheduled for October 25. Ahead of the start, the majority party \u201cServant of the People\u201d (Sluha Narodu) chose its candidates for mayors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It seems like many of them have little chances of winning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Experts say, the mayor\u2019s office is a likely win for \u201cServant of the People\u201d contenders just in three big cities \u2013 Rivne, Chernivtsi and Kryvyi Rih. The competition can become fierce in three more places \u2013 Mykolayiv, Kherson and Uzhhorod. In other cities the prospects of success with voters are not realistic. Why is that?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Candidates wanted.&nbsp;<\/strong>Political expert Serhiy Haidai told \u201cHromadske\u201d that the list of \u201cZe!Mayors\u201d is illustrative of staffing shortage that the presidential team is experiencing locally. \u201cCompetence in politics is the ability to form a team. When you know what your goals are, you understand who you need. If you lack this understanding, you end up being surrounded by random people,\u201d Haidai said.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Not growing party branches.&nbsp;<\/strong>Last year it became clear that development of the party structure is problematic. The Parliament\u2019s accelerated operation took the stage, so that party growing prospects fell out of focus. Local branches started being actually established in May-July 2020.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Late start of campaigning.&nbsp;<\/strong>Majority of the candidates started campaigning late. One of the reasons is the quarantine restrictions. Besides, local party branches were banned from taking money from candidates fearing that it can mean trading places in party lists.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the end of July central authorities provided an explanation: candidates can donate money, while it should not be accepted as payment for the ranking in the list, but \u201cfor well-motivated spending during the election campaign.\u201d As a result, \u201cServant of the People\u201d missed all deadlines. Real contenders likely to win the race for mayor started campaigning early this year and intensified campaigning in summer. Nearly all \u201cServant of the People\u201d candidates for mayors start campaigning just recently.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The President\u2019s party aims for three-five wins in mayoral elections in the regions. Still, a modest result like this is yet to be achieved.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While last year the party\u2019s brand helped little-known candidates win over experienced politicians in single-member constituencies, the actual situation with mayoral elections is different.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Besides, decentralization reform has produced results. Mayors administer massive funds that they started investing in urban development. It also brought them high and stable support of voters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Opinion polling: decline of trust in institutions&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns%3D'http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg' viewBox%3D'0 0 1024 576'%2F%3E\" data-src=\"https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/rejting-1-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"lazyload wp-image-125361\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/rejting-1-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/rejting-1-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/rejting-1-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/rejting-1-192x108.jpg 192w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/rejting-1-384x216.jpg 384w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/rejting-1-364x205.jpg 364w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/rejting-1-728x409.jpg 728w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/rejting-1-561x316.jpg 561w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/rejting-1-1122x631.jpg 1122w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/rejting-1-608x342.jpg 608w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/rejting-1-758x426.jpg 758w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/rejting-1-1152x648.jpg 1152w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/rejting-1.jpg 1200w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Last year, the new political season that started in autumn was marked by a sharp increase in Ukrainians\u2019 trust in public institutions. This year, at the start of the season trust in institutions is in decline. These are the results of a recent public opinion poll jointly held by the Razumkov Center and Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Whom Ukrainians don\u2019t trust.&nbsp;<\/strong>Forty-nine per cent don\u2019t trust the President, 75 per cent don\u2019t trust the Parliament, 72 per cent have no trust in the government and 78 per cent don\u2019t trust civil servants. \u201cThe tendency is towards the decline of trust in public institutions. To compare, in December 2019 51.5 per cent of the respondents did not trust the government, 54 per cent did not trust the Parliament, and 31 per cent had no trust in the President,\u201d sociologists say.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mistrust in political parties scored 71 per cent, trade unions are not trusted by half of the citizens. Highly mistrusted is the judicial system in general \u2013 77.5 per cent and the Supreme Court \u2013 69 per cent, so are the courts at local level \u2013 67.5 per cent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Whom Ukrainians do trust.&nbsp;<\/strong>Ukrainians trust the Armed Forces \u2013 65 per cent, the church and volunteer organizations equally \u2013 63 per cent. Respondents rather trust the State Emergency Service \u2013 53 per cent, volunteer battalions \u2013 53 per cent, State Border Guard Service \u2013 52 per cent, media \u2013 50 per cent, National Guard \u2013 49 per cent, and civil society organizations \u2013 47 per cent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>How Ukraine is fighting COVID-19<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"899\" height=\"600\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns%3D'http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg' viewBox%3D'0 0 899 600'%2F%3E\" data-src=\"https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/covid-19-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"lazyload wp-image-124807\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/covid-19-1.jpg 899w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/covid-19-1-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/covid-19-1-768x513.jpg 768w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/covid-19-1-180x120.jpg 180w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/covid-19-1-561x374.jpg 561w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/covid-19-1-364x243.jpg 364w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/covid-19-1-728x486.jpg 728w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/covid-19-1-608x406.jpg 608w, https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/covid-19-1-758x506.jpg 758w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 899px) 100vw, 899px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>On September 6, Ukraine recorded 2,174 new coronavirus cases, 379 recoveries and 31 deaths. The highest daily total recorded on September 4 was 2,836 cases. The data is provided by the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since the pandemic began, Ukraine has recorded 138,068 cases of coronavirus. A total of 2,877 patients have died, and 62,606 have recovered. There are 72,585 active cases.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Situation in the combat zone The situation in the combat zone in eastern Ukraine has escalated. On September 6, Russia-backed militants violated the peace deal reached on July 22, 2020. They fired upon Ukrainian troops\u2019 positions near Krasnohorivka from grenade launchers. A Ukrainian serviceman was wounded in action. He was swiftly rendered first aid and [&hellip;] <a class=\"g1-link g1-link-more\" href=\"https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/en\/weekly-update-on-ukraine-30-31-august-06-september\">More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":125373,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[765,699,611],"tags":[],"section":[743],"form":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v17.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Ceasefire in Donbas, local elections in Ukraine, COVID-19 and more \u2013 Weekly Update on Ukraine #30, 31 August - 06 September | UACRISIS.ORG<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Situation in the combat zone The situation in the combat zone in eastern Ukraine has escalated. 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