{"id":233959,"date":"2023-02-07T15:24:33","date_gmt":"2023-02-07T13:24:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/?p=233959"},"modified":"2023-02-07T15:24:36","modified_gmt":"2023-02-07T13:24:36","slug":"day-348","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/en\/day-348","title":{"rendered":"Day 348: Putin to begin renewed offensive before February 16?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Ukraine conveys condolences to T\u00fcrkiye and Syria following the deadly earthquakes that killed thousands and left thousands more without shelter. President Zelenskyi reiterated his condolences to President Erdogan and offered to send help to T\u00fcrkiye if needed.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3><strong>Putin to begin renewed offensive before February 16?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>A renewed large-scale Russian offensive is expected to come within 10 days, and before modern western tanks and other weaponry recently pledged arrives to reinforce Ukraine\u2019s capabilities, according to an article by the Financial Times. An adviser to the Ukrainian military told the Financial Times that Kyiv had obtained \u201cvery solid intelligence of intent\u201d by Russia to launch the attack, adding that it could come within 10 days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Western analysts think a likely point for a fresh Russian attack is in the west of Luhansk region near Kreminna and Lyman where Russia has been assembling forces for weeks. Putin gave the order to seize all of the territories of Donetsk and Luhansk regions by March.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Russia will not try to seize all of Ukraine at once in a possible offensive in February, Ukraine\u2019s Defense Minister Oleksiy Reznikov said in an interview with Ukrainska Pravda. Instead, Russia is concentrating forces on a number of axes, he added. \u201cRussia has shifted its tactics to concentrate forces around attempts to seize small parts of the land \u2014 to crawl ahead by capturing ten meters each time and push [the Ukrainian troops] out,\u201d Reznikov said. The risks of Russia\u2019s renewed offensive are highest in the east and south. Then come the risks in the north, the Defense Minister said. Yet \u201cthere are no grounds to panic and flee the cities,\u201d he reassured. There remains a threat of Russian missile and drone strikes, he added, but Ukraine is bolstering its air defense capabilities.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Russia has concentrated most of its forces in Ukraine\u2019s east and south, Reznikov said. It is unlikely that the Russian forces will attempt to capture Kherson again, after they blew up the bridges and pontoon crossings as they retreated from the city. They can begin the moves on the Zaporizhzhia axis to \u201cwiden the land corridor to Crimea to connect the supply lines\u201d.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Russian forces could launch a renewed offensive in Donetsk and Luhansk regions, and on the Zaporizhzhia axis, according to the Main Intelligence Directorate of Ukraine\u2019s Defense Ministry. \u201cIn Kherson region and Crimea, the Russian forces will conduct defense,\u201d Ukraine\u2019s military intelligence said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3><strong>Russians being prepared to accept high casualties in Ukraine war<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Russia seeks to regain the initiative in the war after suffering military defeats in the past year. Last week, fighting intensified, especially on the Donetsk axis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cRussia wants revenge, revenge exactly where it didn&#8217;t succeed. They want to take the east. Our task is not to give them this chance until our army is strengthened with necessary weapons,\u201d Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyi said in a news conference after the EU-Ukraine summit last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe enemy is at a point when, while Russia\u2019s strategic defeat is clear, at the tactical level, they still have resources to attempt an offensive,\u201d Zelenskyi said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Russia could deploy half of more than 320,000 draftees to escalate the war. Yet the overall number of the Russian troops on the borders [of Ukraine] is way higher and can reach 500,000, Ukraine\u2019s Defense Ministry said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Russia will most likely focus on occupying more territory on the Donetsk axis. Putin had ordered his armed forces to capture all of Donetsk and Luhansk regions by March, according to Ukraine\u2019s defense intelligence.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Russian forces are attempting to distract the Ukrainian troops by drawing some of the units away to the north-east of Ukraine\u2019s border, expanding the area of an offensive.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3><strong>Podcast Explaining Ukraine. Living near the Russian border: what does this mean?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-soundcloud wp-block-embed-soundcloud\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe class=\"lazyload\"  title=\"Living near the Russian border: what does this mean? | Ep. 185 by UkraineWorld\" width=\"662\" height=\"400\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"no\" data-src=\"https:\/\/w.soundcloud.com\/player\/?visual=true&#038;url=https%3A%2F%2Fapi.soundcloud.com%2Ftracks%2F1440796033&#038;show_artwork=true&#038;maxheight=993&#038;maxwidth=662\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Northeastern Ukraine, one of the most vulnerable areas of the country, is very close to the border with Russia. How did this region get through the Russian invasion one year ago, and how is it living now? We went to the borderlands of Sumy Oblast, in northeastern Ukraine, just a few dozen kilometers from the Russian border, to learn more. Hosts: Volodymyr Yermolenko, Ukrainian philosopher and journalist, chief editor of UkraineWorld.org, and Tetyana Ogarkova, Ukrainian scholar and journalist, head of international outreach at the Ukraine Crisis Media Centre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3><strong>Ukraine in Flames, latest episodes<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Regional journalists reflect on a year of the full scale war. Ukraine in Flames #331&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div id=\"g1-fluid-wrapper-counter-1\" class=\"g1-fluid-wrapper \" style=\"width:662px;\" data-g1-fluid-width=\"662\" data-g1-fluid-height=\"372\">\n\t       <div class=\"g1-fluid-wrapper-inner\" style=\"padding-bottom:56.19335347432%;\">\n\t       <div class=\"mace-youtube\" data-mace-video=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/u-ddokztMsw?showinfo=0&#038;rel=1&#038;ytp-pause-overlay=1&#038;autoplay=1&#038;enablejsapi=1\" data-mace-video-thumb=\"https:\/\/img.youtube.com\/vi\/u-ddokztMsw\/hqdefault.jpg\"><div class=\"mace-play-button\"><\/div><\/div>\n\t       <\/div>\n\t       <\/div>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Kremlin\u2019s hybrid warfare: attempts of war crime justification. Ukraine in Flames #332&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div id=\"g1-fluid-wrapper-counter-2\" class=\"g1-fluid-wrapper \" style=\"width:662px;\" data-g1-fluid-width=\"662\" data-g1-fluid-height=\"372\">\n\t       <div class=\"g1-fluid-wrapper-inner\" style=\"padding-bottom:56.19335347432%;\">\n\t       <div class=\"mace-youtube\" data-mace-video=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/fLlcYAGtXcs?showinfo=0&#038;rel=1&#038;ytp-pause-overlay=1&#038;autoplay=1&#038;enablejsapi=1\" data-mace-video-thumb=\"https:\/\/img.youtube.com\/vi\/fLlcYAGtXcs\/hqdefault.jpg\"><div class=\"mace-play-button\"><\/div><\/div>\n\t       <\/div>\n\t       <\/div>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Ukrainian music in the times of war. Ukraine in Flames #333&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div id=\"g1-fluid-wrapper-counter-3\" class=\"g1-fluid-wrapper \" style=\"width:662px;\" data-g1-fluid-width=\"662\" data-g1-fluid-height=\"372\">\n\t       <div class=\"g1-fluid-wrapper-inner\" style=\"padding-bottom:56.19335347432%;\">\n\t       <div class=\"mace-youtube\" data-mace-video=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/2IjiKoNUU70?showinfo=0&#038;rel=1&#038;ytp-pause-overlay=1&#038;autoplay=1&#038;enablejsapi=1\" data-mace-video-thumb=\"https:\/\/img.youtube.com\/vi\/2IjiKoNUU70\/hqdefault.jpg\"><div class=\"mace-play-button\"><\/div><\/div>\n\t       <\/div>\n\t       <\/div>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ukraine conveys condolences to T\u00fcrkiye and Syria following the deadly earthquakes that killed thousands and left thousands more without shelter. President Zelenskyi reiterated his condolences to President Erdogan and offered to send help to T\u00fcrkiye if needed.&nbsp; Putin to begin renewed offensive before February 16? A renewed large-scale Russian offensive is expected to come within [&hellip;] <a class=\"g1-link g1-link-more\" href=\"https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/en\/day-348\">More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":233964,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[611,748],"tags":[32939,32702,6910,32654,32733,32727,7265,1124,32709],"section":[743],"form":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v17.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Day 348: Putin to begin renewed offensive before February 16? | UACRISIS.ORG<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Day 348: Putin to begin renewed offensive before February 16? 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