{"id":325535,"date":"2025-01-08T23:43:11","date_gmt":"2025-01-08T21:43:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/?p=325535"},"modified":"2025-01-08T23:43:15","modified_gmt":"2025-01-08T21:43:15","slug":"1050","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/en\/1050","title":{"rendered":"Day 1,050: Trump\u2019s statement that NATO enlargement triggered Russia\u2019s invasion of Ukraine confuses cause and effect, Ukrainian pollster says"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Ukraine strikes an oil depot in Russia\u2019s Engels that serves a military airfield used to stage attacks on Ukraine. Trump\u2019s statement that Ukraine\u2019s aspirations for NATO triggered Russia\u2019s invasion twists reality, a Ukrainian pollster says. The Ukraine Defense Contact Group meeting at Ramstein is to map out Ukraine\u2019s defense capabilities through 2027.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2><strong>Ukraine strikes oil depot in Russia\u2019s Engels that serves military airfield used to stage attacks on Ukraine<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Ukraine struck overnight a Russian oil depot that serves a military airfield in the city of Engels, in Russia\u2019s Saratov region, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine said on Wednesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It reported multiple explosions and a big fire at the Kombinat Kristall oil depot, which it said provided fuel to the Engels-2 military airfield, where Russia\u2019s strategic bomber fleet is based.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The results of the strike are being clarified, the General Staff said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The operation was carried out by the Main Intelligence Department of Ukraine\u2019s Defense Ministry, Unmanned Systems Forces and other branches of the military.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe strike of the oil depot creates serious logistical problems for the strategic aviation of the Russian occupiers and significantly reduces their ability to strike at peaceful Ukrainian cities and civilian objects,\u201d the General Staff said in a statement.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The governor of the Saratov region, Roman Busargin, said that an unspecified industrial site in Engels sustained damage from the falling drone debris that sparked a fire.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The city residents reported around 25 explosions, bursts of fire in the sky and a huge fire at the oil depot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2><strong>Trump\u2019s statement that Ukraine\u2019s aspirations for NATO triggered Russia\u2019s invasion twists reality, Ukrainian pollster says<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>A statement by the U.S. President-elect Donald Trump that Ukraine\u2019s aspirations for NATO triggered Russia\u2019s invasion of the country goes counter to what opinion polls have shown, Director General of the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology Volodymyr Paniotto said in a Facebook post Wednesday.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cA statement that Ukraine\u2019s NATO ambitions \u2018provoked\u2019 Russia into invading the country is erroneous. In reality, Ukraine\u2019s desire to join NATO emerged in response to Russia\u2019s aggression,\u201d Paniotto said.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 2008, Ukraine formally requested a NATO Membership Action Plan, but was not offered one in view of respecting Russia\u2019s interests, he added. Before Russia\u2019s aggression in 2014, a majority of Ukrainians opposed the idea of Ukraine joining NATO, Paniotto said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cBefore 2014 only 15-10 per cent of Ukrainians supported Ukraine\u2019s accession to NATO, while a majority of political candidates did not even include the statement into their programs on the grounds of a lack of it being popular,\u201d he said. \u201cAround 90 per cent of Ukrainians have positive views of Russia, making the prospect of NATO membership almost impossible in view of weak public support,\u201d he added.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to Paniotto, before 2014, Putin enjoyed a high approval rating in Ukraine with around 60 per cent of Ukrainians saying they have a positive view of him. To compare, candidates for president in 2010, Yuliya Tymoshenko and Viktor Yanukovych, each had an approval rating that did not exceed 30 per cent.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cIt is important to remind that Ukraine joining NATO was not even among the protestors\u2019 demands during the Revolution of Dignity in 2013-2014. Also, a visibly smaller share of protesters requested Ukraine\u2019s EU accession than that standing up for dignity and justice,\u201d Paniotto said.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The situation drastically changed after Russia illegally annexed Crimea in 2014, causing public support for Ukraine\u2019s NATO membership to rise to 48 per cent, he explained.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Speaking at a news conference Tuesday, U.S. President-elect Donald Trump said he sympathized with the Russian position that Ukraine should not be part of NATO. He also blamed outgoing President Joe Biden for allegedly changing the U.S. position on NATO membership for Ukraine and triggering Russia\u2019s invasion of the country.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2><strong>Ukraine Defense Contact Group meeting at Ramstein to map out Ukraine\u2019s defense capabilities through 2027<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The Ukraine Defense Contact Group will gather at Ramstein Air Base in Germany on Thursday to map out Ukraine\u2019s defense capabilities in support of building a credible deterrent force through 2027, the U.S. Department of Defense said in a statement Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Secretary of Defense Lloyd J. Austin III will travel to Ramstein Air Base where he will host the 25th meeting of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group (UDCG) on January 9, the Pentagon said in a separate statement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cAt this milestone meeting, Secretary Austin will engage with defense ministers and senior military officials from around the world to discuss Ukraine&#8217;s immediate battlefield needs, longer-term defense requirements, and the important coordination being conducted through the capability coalitions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe meeting will focus on the need to ensure continued delivery of key capabilities including air defense systems, artillery munitions, and armored vehicles, as well as efforts to enhance the defense industrial base,\u201d the message reads.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Two senior defense officials told the media on Tuesday that Secretary of Defense Lloyd J. Austin III intends to gather the Ukraine Defense Contact Group\u2019s eight capabilities coalition leaders during the upcoming 25th meeting of the UDCG at Ramstein Air Base in Germany, in order to map out Ukraine\u2019s defense capabilities in support of building a credible deterrent force through 2027.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The UDCG, which Austin founded in response to Russia\u2019s unprovoked February 24, 2022, invasion of Ukraine, is a coalition of some 50 nations that meet regularly to discuss Ukraine\u2019s security needs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Within the overall UDCG, exists a coalition leadership group comprising eight capability coalitions. Each coalition represents one aspect of Ukraine\u2019s military capabilities and is co-led by at least two separate NATO nations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe leaders of these coalitions will need to endorse roadmaps that articulate Ukraine\u2019s air force, armor, artillery, de-mining, drone, integrated air and missile defense, information technology and maritime security needs and objectives through 2027. These roadmaps are intended to enable donors to plan for and support Ukraine sustainably into the future,\u201d one of the defense officials explained.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When asked whether there was concern about the path forward for the UDCG should American support for the group decrease once the new administration takes over January 20, the officials stressed that the multilateral manner in which the UDCG and its coalitions have been constructed will help to bolster the group\u2019s future resiliency.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe are very confident that the [group\u2019s] multilateral nature, which was absolutely baked in from the start by Secretary Austin [because of] his absolute commitment to multilateral work [and] also his knowledge and respect for the capabilities of those European countries \u2026 meant that we were able to do more together with those aid capability coalitions than we could have alone,\u201d one of the officials said. \u201cWhat the future is of those coalitions \u2026 is one of the reasons why the coalition leadership group will meet at the ministerial level to lay a sound foundation for the future of those coalitions,\u201d the official continued.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cI can&#8217;t speak for what the incoming administration will decide about its role [within the UDCG], but I\u2019m very confident of European commitment \u2026 ability \u2026 experience and extraordinary belief in the mission, and [I\u2019m] confident that those capability coalitions will continue one way or another,\u201d the official added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Further emphasizing the first official\u2019s viewpoint, the second senior official pointed out that, though the 25th UDCG will be Austin\u2019s last, the Defense Department is not \u201csunsetting\u201d the group, and the group\u2019s work will continue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since the UDCG\u2019s founding in April 2022, the U.S., its allies and partners have committed more than USD 126 billion in security assistance to Ukraine.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ukraine strikes an oil depot in Russia\u2019s Engels that serves a military airfield used to stage attacks on Ukraine. Trump\u2019s statement that Ukraine\u2019s aspirations for NATO triggered Russia\u2019s invasion twists reality, a Ukrainian pollster says. The Ukraine Defense Contact Group meeting at Ramstein is to map out Ukraine\u2019s defense capabilities through 2027.\u00a0 Ukraine strikes oil [&hellip;] <a class=\"g1-link g1-link-more\" href=\"https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/en\/1050\">More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":325536,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[699,611,748],"tags":[8921,32939,32702,32929,6910,32654,32733,32727,1083,7265,1124,1082,32709],"section":[743],"form":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v17.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Day 1,050: Trump\u2019s statement that NATO enlargement triggered Russia\u2019s invasion of Ukraine confuses cause and effect, Ukrainian pollster says | UACRISIS.ORG<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Ukraine strikes an oil depot in Russia\u2019s Engels that serves a military airfield used to stage attacks on Ukraine. 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