{"id":359664,"date":"2026-06-04T22:28:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-04T19:28:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/1562"},"modified":"2026-06-05T11:59:01","modified_gmt":"2026-06-05T08:59:01","slug":"1562","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/en\/1562","title":{"rendered":"Day 1,562: Russian ultranationalist Dugin draws future scenarios for Russia, one includes use of nuclear weapons"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>More than 900 port infrastructure sites sustained damage in Russian attacks since the invasion, Ukraine\u2019s Deputy Prime Minister said. Russian ultranationalist Dugin draws future scenarios for Russia, one includes the use of nuclear weapons. The International Atomic Energy Agency says a key thermal facility powering the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant came under attack.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2><strong><strong>More than 900 port infrastructure sites sustained damage in Russian attacks since invasion, Deputy PM says<\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>At least 935 port infrastructure sites were damaged or partially ruined by Russian attacks since the invasion, Deputy Prime Minister for Restoration \u2014 Minister for Development of Communities and Territories of Ukraine, Oleksiy Kuleba said in a post to social media on Thursday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Russia continues systematic attacks on Ukraine\u2019s logistics infrastructure. It carried out more than 500 drone attacks in April alone. Ukrainian ports sustained attacks almost daily, he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cSince the beginning of the full-scale invasion, 935 port infrastructure sites were damaged or partially destroyed, 191 civilian ships were affected and 255 people were wounded,\u201d Kuleba said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2><strong><strong>Russian ultranationalist Dugin draws future scenarios for Russia, one includes use of nuclear weapons<\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The Russian ultranationalist community presented extreme and unrealistic scenarios for Russia\u2019s military and geopolitical future at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) that likely somewhat differ from the Kremlin\u2019s positions. In its update on Wednesday, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) breaks down the scenarios. The paragraphs below are quoted from the report.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Russian business newspaper Kommersant reported on June 3 that Kremlin-affiliated Russian oligarch and Orthodox nationalist Konstantin Malofeev and Russian ultranationalist ideologue Alexander Dugin presented several \u201cfuture scenarios\u201d for Russia at SPIEF.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The presentation slides outlined \u201cgood,\u201d \u201cinertial\u201d (continuing), and \u201cbad\u201d scenarios for 2036 and 2050 and divided perceived threats to Russia into five categories, including geopolitics, ideology and politics, demography, economy, and technologies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The \u201cgood\u201d scenario includes the Russian occupation of Kyiv, Odesa, Kharkiv, and other Ukrainian cities and the collapse of the European Union (EU) by 2036 and other Russian narratives about alleged imminent victory in Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The presentation\u2019s \u201cbad\u201d scenario included a Russian military defeat in Ukraine, Ukraine joining NATO, the loss of Russian influence over post-Soviet countries by 2036, and the \u201ccolonization of Russia\u201d by 2050.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The presentation\u2019s \u201ccontinuing\u201d 2036 scenario speculated that Russia would use nuclear weapons if the military situation in Ukraine remained the same, effectively threatening that Russia will use nuclear weapons against Ukraine if the war in Ukraine continues its current path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Malofeev also spoke about the potential actions of Russia and Russian \u201cenemies\u201d and outlined the threat dynamics from 2000 until 2026. Dugin noted that his ultranationalist think tank Tsargrad Institute also presented the \u201cfuture scenarios\u201d report at the Russian forces\u2019 General Staff Academy and will publish the report by the end of 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Malofeev and Dugin are part of an ultranationalist hardline community in Russia that has continuously advocated for a protracted war in Ukraine and are likely presenting the report at SPIEF to outline their personal goals and the goals of the hardliners they represent for Russia\u2019s future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Kremlin may use the unrealistic nature of these three scenarios to portray Russian President Vladimir Putin\u2019s and other government officials\u2019 rhetoric as moderate and reasonable in comparison to the extreme scenarios presented by a small cadre of ultranationalists. The Kremlin will likely have to strike a balance between the demands and expectations of the Russian ultranationalist community, with its own rhetoric and the battlefield realities in Ukraine, however, as Putin likely does not want to risk losing the support of the ultranationalists.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2><strong><strong>IAEA says key thermal facility powering Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant came under attack<\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The Zaporizhzhia thermal power plant that powers the Russian-occupied Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant was under a \u201cheavy attack\u201d on Thursday morning, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) said in a post to X. The plant\u2019s switchyard helps send electricity to the nuclear plant, it explained.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The agency\u2019s team at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant said it \u201csaw light smoke coming from the direction of the [Zaporizhzhia thermal power plant] and heard the sound of military activity.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe incident raises serious concern about the [Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant\u2019s] sole remaining power line, which in recent weeks has been disconnected several times, leaving the plant entirely reliant on emergency diesel generators for the electricity it needs to cool its six reactors and avoid the threat of a nuclear accident,\u201d the International Atomic Energy Agency said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The statement also cited the agency\u2019s Director General, Rafael Grossi as saying that the attack \u201cmust stop immediately, to avoid the danger of an extended loss of power incident at the [Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant].\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ukraine\u2019s Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant occupied by Russia lost power overnight on Wednesday. The outage happened for the 17th time since the invasion, Ukraine\u2019s nuclear energy authority said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>More than 900 port infrastructure sites sustained damage in Russian attacks since the invasion, Ukraine\u2019s Deputy Prime Minister said. Russian ultranationalist Dugin draws future scenarios for Russia, one includes the use of nuclear weapons. The International Atomic Energy Agency says a key thermal facility powering the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant came under attack. More than [&hellip;] <a class=\"g1-link g1-link-more\" href=\"https:\/\/uacrisis.org\/en\/1562\">More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":359665,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[699,611,748],"tags":[8921,32939,32702,34873,6910,32654,32733,32727,7265,1124,32709],"section":[743],"form":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v17.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Day 1,562: Russian ultranationalist Dugin draws future scenarios for Russia, one includes use of nuclear weapons | UACRISIS.ORG<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"More than 900 port infrastructure sites sustained damage in Russian attacks since the invasion, Ukraine\u2019s Deputy Prime Minister said. 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