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Day 854: vast majority of Ukrainians believe that Ukraine will win war with Russia

Ukraine’s “people’s satellite” has helped detect and destroy thousands of Russian military sites. Almost 2.4 million Ukrainians have updated their personal data in the military registry. The vast majority of Ukrainians believe that Ukraine will win the war with Russia, one-in-three say it will happen in a year or two.

Ukraine’s “people’s satellite” has helped detect and destroy thousands of Russian military sites

An ICEYE satellite that the Serhiy Prytula Charity Foundation bought through private donations of millions of Ukrainians almost two years ago, has helped detect and destroy thousands of Russian military sites, Ukraine’s defense intelligence said in a statement on Wednesday.  

The satellite “took the quality and speed of receiving intelligence data to a new level,” the Main Intelligence Department of the Defense Ministry of Ukraine said.     

“The results are fantastic! What’s very important is that satellite imagery from the orbit of the Earth returns data from temporarily occupied areas of Ukraine and others places on the planet where terrorist Russia’s troops and weapons are deployed,” the defense intelligence said.

Since Ukraine began to use the satellite and gained access to a constellation of radar satellites, the Ukrainian military has made a total of 4,173 images of “enemy’s sites,” including 370 airfields, 238 air defense and radio reconnaissance positions, 153 oil and fuel depots, 147 missile, bomb, and ammunition dumps, and 17 naval bases.  

The ICEYE satellite also provides imagery of Russian military installations, training grounds, military barracks, enlistment centers etc., allowing to track the movement of Russian troops, uncover and derail their plans.

According to Ukraine’s defense intelligence, the satellite’s key advantage is in its ability to clearly see the amassment of Russia’s heavily camouflaged mechanized units and equipment. 

“The ‘people’s satellite’ allows to track the aggressor’s military industrial sites and its supply lines, including an illegal bridge between Russia and occupied Crimea,” Ukraine’s intelligence said.

The satellite can identify the type of fighter jets, warships, air defense systems, and capture the damage to Russian sites that were hit.

“Around 38 per cent of all data received through ICEYE satellites were used to plan strikes at enemy sites,” Ukraine’s defense intelligence said. It translates into “billions of dollars in losses” for Russia, and the price of the aggression will only be rising, it added.  

Almost 2.4 million Ukrainians have updated their personal data in military registry

As of Wednesday, almost 2.4 million Ukrainians have updated their personal data in the military registry, according to Fedir Venislavskyi, MP, member of the Parliamentary Committee on National Security, Defense, and Intelligence.

“The dynamics is quite positive: 2.37 million Ukrainians have so far updated their personal data in the military registry,” he told a news conference Wednesday.  

Venislavskyi said a majority of Ukrainians had updated their records through the Reserve+ mobile application. Visits to administrative service centers were the second most popular way to make the updates. Ukrainians who have updated their personal data at the centers for territorial recruitment and social support are the third largest group.    

The mobilization law that came into force on May 18 has achieved its purpose, he said.

“Since the law that improves mobilization legislation took effect, the dynamics of mobilization gives an optimistic outlook on implementation of the law. It also meets our expectations, and the expectations of the Defense Ministry, the Commander-in-Chief, and of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine,” Venislavskyi said.

The law was primarily aimed at revising the registry of Ukrainians who can be conscripted. This goal has been achieved, he said.

“We are clarifying who stays where, who is fit for military service and who is unfit to serve, for whom military service can be deferred, who has been reserved, and who can be conscripted,” Venislavskyi added. 

Vast majority of Ukrainians believe that Ukraine will win war with Russia, one-in-three say it will happen in year or two

The vast majority of Ukrainians (80 per cent) believe that Ukraine will win the war with Russia, a survey conducted by the Razumkov Center finds. Thirty-eight per cent believe it will happen in a year or two.

Some 12 per cent do not believe Ukraine will prevail in the war with Russia.

The views on when the war ends have almost not changed among those who believe that Ukraine will win since March 2024 and January 2024 when previous polls were conducted. The share of those who believe the war will continue until the end of the year has increased from 20 per cent in January 2024 to 24 per cent today. 

Thirty-eight per cent of Ukrainians say that Ukraine will defeat Russia in one or two years, 15 per cent say it will happen between three to five years from now, five percent say it will take more than five years, and one per cent say they are unlikely to witness it during their lifetime. 

A majority (42 per cent) of those who believe that Ukraine will prevail say the victory will be seeing Russian forces withdrawn from all of Ukraine and its 2014 borders restored.

Some 17.5 per cent say the victory is seeing the Russian army destroyed and Russia dissolved.

Fourteen per cent say that winning the war means regaining the land that Russia has conquered from Ukraine since February 2022. Eight per cent are willing to cede Crimea to end the war, and eight more per cent are willing to cede all territories seized by Russia since February 24, 2022 to end the war.  

The survey was conducted in government controlled areas far from the front lines between June 6 and June 12, 2024 through face-to-face interviews.

Advocating Ukraine’s Interests on the Global Stage. Ukraine in Flames #629

Razom Advocacy is one of the initiatives of the public organization Razom for Ukraine, dedicated to promoting Ukraine’s political success and fostering community engagement in the United States and Ukraine. Its representatives volunteer alongside experts, politicians, and voters to support the development of a more democratic and prosperous Ukraine. Activists operate within Congress, the White House, and the executive branch to advance policies that strengthen Ukraine, ensure its success, and amplify Ukrainian-American voices in political discourse. Watch Ukraine in Flames #629 to find out about how to effectively communicate Ukraine’s interests to American politicians and ensure bipartisan support for Ukraine among Americans.

Guests:

  • Doug Klain, Policy Analyst for Razom for Ukraine 
  • Greg Kulchyckyj, Associate Director of Government Affairs and Strategy at Razom for Ukraine 
  • Mykola Murskyj, Director of Advocacy at Razom for Ukraine